It is week 7 of college football, things are getting crazy. Alabama going down to Vanderbilt just shows how different this sport is now than in the past, making correct picks isn’t getting any easier. The slate is becoming filled with conference games, it is one of the best times of the year. Last week was not my week, it was definitely disappointing having my first losing week. I went 3-4, meaning total we are 16-11 (59% hit rate). Mizzou and USC… unacceptable performances last week. Let’s get into it.
Memphis -6.5 (alt line) vs South Florida:
This is my bet of the week. At the time I took it, Memphis was favored at -6.5, now it is -7.5. Memphis is still a power in the American Athletic Conference, and USF will be without quarterback Byrum Brown. Memphis playing on the road is what is keeping this spread from touching double digits.
Missouri -27.5 vs UMass:
I get it, I am a wild man. Taking Missouri after last week’s game, seems crazy right? Well 27.5 is not a lot of points for Mizzzou to have to cover on Saturday. UMass is the home team, maybe they will bring a decent crowd to this one. Missouri is hungry after getting smacked in the face by Texas A&M last week. I smell a beating at noon on Saturday, and like the 27.5 point cover.
Wisconsin vs Rutgers Over 41:
I’m taking this pick from my good buddy Adam Hoff who gave this pick out on my show, The Wild Snap: A Football Show. Wisconsin is down to their backup QB Brayden Locke, but he put 52 points up last week in conference play. 41 points is a low over/under and I think between the two teams they get there.
Pitt -2.5 (alt line) vs Cal:
Pitt is undefeated, 5-0. Can they become bowl eligible this weekend? 100%, I think they beat the California Golden Bears. I moved the line down to -2.5 so Pitt can win by a field goal. Cal is coming off a crazy game against Miami where they lost in the last minute, they have to make a trip out east and I think that will be tough on them.
Illinois -21.5 vs Purdue:
This is a GOOD Illinois team at home hosting Purdue. Purdue just lost by 46 points to the Wisconsin Badgers and a backup quarterback. I’m going to have confidence in a good, well coached Illinois team.
UNLV -18.5 vs Utah State:
This UNLV team is still very good, despite picking up a loss last week. It took an ACC team coming into town and fighting in overtime to win the game. Utah State on the other hand couldn’t stop a thing against Boise State last week. They gave up 62 points to Boise State last week, and I think UNLV has a better defense than Boise State. I don’t see them scoring 62, but I see them covering -18.5. Go Rebels!
Army -26 vs UAB:
I WILL TAKE ARMY SPREAD UNTIL THEY DO NOT COVER. Army has covered every single game this year, unfortunately the odds makers have caught up to us. I wish this spread was half of what it is, but then again Trent Dilfer is going viral for how bad of a coach he is. If Army plays the way they have been, and UAB remains undisciplined then Army will cover. We will see if the 26 points is too much however.